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05.08.2014 10:42 AM
Gold Wave analysis for August 5, 2014

Gold price is still below $1,300 but today we look at our alternative wave scenario that implies that wave E of the triangle wave 4 is not complete and we could see another move higher towards $1,350 if we get the buy signals we need.

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Gold price remains below the Ichimoku cloud in the 4 hour chart. Gold price is also still inside the downward sloping wedge. If price breaks above $1,295, we will have a short-term buy signal that could push price towards $1,305 where the Ichimoku cloud resistance is found. Soon, we will know which side is stronger...bulls or bears as the wedge is contracting.

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My preferred wave scenario so far has been that we have completed wave E at $1,346. The alternative I show today is marked with blue letters in the daily chart above. We could be well inside wave B down that has reached the 61.8% retracement of the rise from $1,240. Wave C of wave E could have well started. This scenario will be canceled if we break below $1,270 trend line support. In the daily chart price has moved back inside the Ichimoku cloud. This makes the trend neutral. A break and close below $1,285 will be a bearish sign for Gold price.

Alexandros Yfantis,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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