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09.01.2023 08:54 AM
Analysis and trading tips for GBP/USD on January 9

Analysis of transactions in the GBP / USD pair

The test of 1.1888 occurred when the MACD line was far below zero, so the downside potential was limited. No other signals appeared for the rest of the day.

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The US unemployment rate fell and the number of non-farm payrolls rose. However, this did not help dollar rise as it continued to collapse on Friday after the services business activity index showed a decline, indicating that recession is gradually coming.

There are no statistics for the UK today, so the upward trend may continue in the morning. Then, in the afternoon, there is nothing but labor market trend index and consumer credit index in the US, so traders will most likely rely more on technical analyses.

For long positions:

Buy pound when the quote reaches 1.2167 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2226 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth could occur in continuation of the newly formed trend. But take note that when buying, the MACD line should be above zero or is starting to rise from it. Pound can also be bought at 1.2109, however, the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2167 and 1.2226.

For short positions:

Sell pound when the quote reaches 1.2109 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2044. Pressure will return if the attempt to breakout of the daily high fails. But take note that when selling, the MACD line should be below zero or is starting to move down from it. Pound can also be sold at 1.2167, however, the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2109 and 1.2044.

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What's on the chart:

The thin green line is the key level at which you can place long positions in the GBP/USD pair.

The thick green line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move above this level.

The thin red line is the level at which you can place short positions in the GBP/USD pair.

The thick red line is the target price, since the quote is unlikely to move below this level.

MACD line - when entering the market, it is important to be guided by the overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

Jakub Novak,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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