empty
 
 
03.04.2019 12:48 AM
EUR/USD: will the euro cross the Rubicon?

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the EUR/USD pair is trading near annual lows marked in early March. Pressure on the single European currency was exerted by weak statistics on the eurozone and the increasing uncertainty on Brexit.

This image is no longer relevant

Given the fact that the core inflation index in the eurozone remains well below the benchmark set by the ECB, and the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in Germany is at a low level since the European debt crisis, it seems premature to talk about the speedy recovery of the bloc economy.

In addition, according to Luis De Guindos, vice president of the ECB, markets are now underestimating the consequences of Britain's unorganized withdrawal from the EU, which could lead to a further slowdown in European GDP. This will be bad news for the euro.

However, it is possible that the crisis of the British government's legislative and executive branches paralyzes London's political will so much that Great Britain will not exit the EU with or without an agreement.

In addition, hopes of the European economy's gradual recovery still remains in connection with the willingness of Washington and Beijing to end the trade war.

If the parties eventually make a deal, it will support the demand for risky assets and will be positive for the euro. In this case, the US currency risks falling.

In the meantime, the dollar is in high demand due to the weakening of other major world currencies.

According to experts, the final straw in the balance, which will provide a breakdown of the EUR/USD to a level of 1.118, below which the pair has not fallen since 2017, could be a report on the state of the US labor market in March, which will be released on Friday.

Viktor Isakov,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposite US $ 3.000 em sua conta e receba $5000 mais!
    Em Novembro nós sorteamos $5000 na campanha Chancy Deposit!
    Tenha a chance de ganhar, depositando $3,000 em sua conta de negociação. Após cumprir essa condição, você se torna um participante da campanha.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Abasteça a sua conta com pelo menos $500, inscreva-se no concurso e tenha a chance de ganhar dispositivos móveis.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO
  • Bônus de 100%
    Sua oportunidade única de receber um bônus de 100% em seu depósito
    RECEBA O BÔNUS
  • Bônus de 55%
    Solicite um bônus de 55% em cada depósito
    RECEBA O BÔNUS
  • Bônus de 30%
    Receba um bônus de 30% toda vez que você fizer um depósito em sua conta
    RECEBA O BÔNUS

Recommended Stories

Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback