empty
 
 
08.10.2018 06:30 PM
Global macro overview for 08/10/2018

The behavior of Wall Street on Friday could have been influenced primarily by the bond market, ie their profitability. The behavior of this market should be influenced by the monthly report from the labor market, which was published (as usual on the first Friday of the month). It did not quite happen. The global investors learned that employment in the non-agricultural sector in September increased by 134,000 (180,000 expected). The compliment was employment in the private sector - it increased by 121,000 (versus 185,000 expected). The unemployment rate is definitely less important, but let us note that it amounted to 3.7% (3.8% expected) - the least for 49 years. Investors also pay close attention to the increase in wages, because the higher they will be, the higher the probability of inflation growth and the faster the rate of a rate hike. The wages per hour increased by 2.8% y / y as expected.

Data verification from the previous month raised this data so strongly that added to the numbers from September gave an increase in employment in the cross-section of two months. In addition, the hurricane that attacked the US East Coast in September significantly distorted the data.

Most often (after increased volatility just after the publication of the labor market report) the stock market ends the day with slight changes in indices. Definitely more often, the publication of the report strongly affects the behavior of the currency market. This time the currency market practically did not react and the indices fell. As always, in the end, the scale of decreases was clearly reduced, but NASDAQ drew a double-top formation forecasting bigger drops. The reason for the discount were constantly increases in bond yields.

Let's now take a look at the NASDAQ technical picture at the H4 time frame after the Friday fever is now gone. The Double Top formation is still in play, at least as long as no new high above the level of 8,102 is made. The nearest technical support is seen at the level of 7,982 and in a case of a deeper pullback in the uptrend - at 7,932. Please notice the clear bearish divergence between the price and the momentum oscillator that supports the bearish case for now. The larger time frame trend remains up.

This image is no longer relevant

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit akaun anda sebanyak $3,000 dan dapatkan $5000 lebih lagi!
    Dalam November kami membuat cabutan bertuah $5000 dalam Kempen Chancy Deposit!
    Dapatkan peluang untuk menang dengan membuat deposit $ 3000 ke dalam akaun dagangan. Setelah memenuhi syarat ini, anda menjadi peserta kempen.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Daftar untuk peraduan dan tambah dana akaun anda dengan sekurang-kurangnya AS$ 500 untuk layak memenangi peranti mudah alih.
    SERTAI PERADUAN
  • Bonus 100%
    Peluang istimewa anda untuk menerima bonus 100% pada deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 55%
    Dapatkan bonus 55% pada setiap deposit anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS
  • Bonus 30%
    Dapatkan bonus 30% setiap kali anda membuat penambahan dana akaun anda
    DAPATKAN BONUS

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget