The spot rate approaches the intermediate support of its medium-term bullish channel at 1.5190 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of this level will free a large potential and reach the lower limit of its channel at 1.5060.
Technical indicators provide sell signals, but until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.5190 with the 1st objective at 1.5250 and then at 1.5270. A breakthrough of 1.5170 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.5190 with the 1st objective at 1.5130 and then at 1.5110. A breakthrough of 1.5210 will invalidate this scenario.