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23.07.2018 06:21 AM
Fundamental Analysis of AUD/USD for July 23, 2018

AUD/USD has been quite corrective and volatile between the price range of 0.73 to 0.75 area which is still expected to push lower in the coming days as of the trend momentum. AUD has been quite positive with the recent gains against USD which is expected to last for short-term.

Ahead of the high impact economic reports to be published on Thursday this week including CPI report which is expected to show an increase to 0.5% from the previous value of 0.4% and Trimmed Mean CPI report is expected to be unchanged at 0.5%. Today AUD CB Leading Index report is going to be published which previously was at 0.1% and expected to have an optimistic outcome.

On the other hand, this week Core Durable Goods report is going to be published on Thursday which is expected to increase to 0.5% from the previous value of 0.0% and Average GDP report on Friday is expected to increase to 4.0% from the previous value of 2.0. Today Existing Home Sales report is going to be published which is expected to have a slight increase to 5.46M from the previous figure of 5.43M.

As of the current scenario, both currencies in this pair are quite optimistic with the upcoming economic reports which might lead to further volatility in the pair but USD may have an upper hand over AUD having bigger gap in the forecasts with more optimism in the market sentiment.

Now let us look at the technical view. The price has recently bounced off the 0.73 support area from where it might show certain bullish momentum but as the price remains below 0.75 the bearish bias is expected to continue and push the price lower towards 0.7050 in the coming days. On the other hand, a break above 0.75 with a daily close is expected to inject bullish momentum in the pair with target towards 0.77 area in the future.

RESISTANCE: 0.75, 0.77

SUPPORT: 0.73, 0.7050

BIAS: BEARISH

MOMENTUM: CORRECTIVE AND VOLATILE

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