empty
26.11.2021 08:50 AM
EUR/USD: US dollar is controlled by the Fed, while the euro is struggling to stay afloat

This image is no longer relevant

The US currency sharply rose during the last few days, which was not hindered by either the volatility of the financial market or the Fed's debate about curtailing incentives and raising rates. At the same time, the Euro currency in the EUR/USD pair made incredible efforts to stay afloat.

By the end of this week, the Euro came up with heavy losses. Analysts said that it lost major share of its positions. Many people note the excessive oversold EUR/USD pair. Serious discrepancies in the strategies of American and European regulators also worsened the situation. It can be recalled that unlike the Fed, the ECB does not yet plan to curtail stimulus programs and the next rate hike. Such a position significantly weakens the euro. This currency is doing its best to stay in the current range, but with varying success.

Meanwhile, the US dollar, which is often controlled by the Fed, still remains in the lead, shining like a Christmas star on a tree. Financial storms sweeping over the market do not prevent it from maintaining a high status. This is facilitated by the certainty in the rhetoric of the Fed, which follows the chosen course. Many analysts believe that the regulator will curtail stimulus next year and raise rates faster than expected.

Goldman Sachs' currency strategists are confident that the American central bank will double the pace of winding up the asset purchase program (to $ 30 billion a month) from January 2022. The beginning of the new year will be marked by new monetary measures for the regulator. According to preliminary forecasts of Goldman Sachs, the Fed will complete its asset purchase program and close this issue in mid-March 2022. By the summer, the regulator will raise the key rate in June next year, which is now close to zero. Autumn will also be full of events: in September, the central bank will increase rates again. The bank's economists predict that the next increase will be in December 2022, followed by a twofold rise in 2023.

The implementation of such a scenario will open up new opportunities for the US dollar. The question is whether it will be able to use them and conquer new levels. The current overvaluation of USD is caused by a significant difference in rates between the US and other countries. At the moment, experts believe that it has changed not in favor of the US dollar. A special role in this issue is assigned to the powerful inflow of capital to America against the background of the growing stock and stable debt markets of the United States. However, this provokes overbought both the American stock market and the national currency. Analysts are confident that the aggravation of this trend will lead to a sharp drop in the US dollar.

The current situation introduces an imbalance in the dynamics of the EUR/USD pair. If economic growth and differences in yields between Europe and the United States reach a peak, stabilization is possible in early December. According to experts, the EUR/USD pair may surprise the market by the beginning of next month. If the downward pressure increases, the classic pair will test the level of 1,1000. This is facilitated by the recent assault on the 1.1250 mark. On Friday morning, the EUR/USD pair was moving around the level of 1.1223, sometimes going beyond the current range.

This image is no longer relevant

Many analysts are pessimistic about the short and medium-term prospects of the pair. This is facilitated by the unstable growth of the US dollar and the difficult situation with the euro. The latter is under pressure from concerns about a new wave of COVID-19 and the next lockdowns in the eurozone. According to experts, the US dollar has a better chance of growth than the euro. The question is whether the USD will be able to use it to the greatest advantage.

Pilih timeframe
5
mnt
15
mnt
30
mnt
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Dapatkan keuntungan dari perubahan nilai mata uang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Unduh MetaTrader 4 dan buka perdagangan pertama Anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    GABUNG KONTES

Artikel yang direkomendasikan

Satu Tahun, Pertumbuhan 19%: Bagaimana Trump Menulis Ulang Aturan untuk Pasar Global

Pasar keuangan menyambut pelantikan kedua Donald Trump dengan perasaan campur aduk. Di satu sisi, para pemegang saham antusias dengan agenda pro-bisnis yang ia dorong. Di sisi lain, pasar mata uang

Thomas Frank 07:56 2025-01-21 UTC+2

Trump. Musim 2: Intrik, suku bunga, dan cryptocurrency dengan namanya sendiri

Dolar terus menunjukkan ketahanannya pada hari Senin, sementara pasar saham Asia menunjukkan optimisme yang berhati-hati. Para investor menunggu dengan tegang langkah pertama Donald Trump dalam masa jabatan keduanya, dan berspekulasi

Thomas Frank 07:40 2025-01-20 UTC+2

Pasar dalam tekanan: Apa arti angka PDB Tiongkok dan pengangguran AS?

Morgan Stanley naik setelah laba kuartal keempat yang lebih tinggi UnitedHealth turun karena tidak ada perkiraan penjualan kuartalan yang dirilis Investor menganalisis data penjualan ritel dan pengangguran Indeks turun

Thomas Frank 09:31 2025-01-17 UTC+2

Musim Laporan Keuangan dan Suku Bunga Global: Asia Bersuka Cita, Dolar Melemah

Saham Asia Naik, Didukung oleh Teknologi Yen Naik ke Level Tertinggi Satu Bulan karena Taruhan Kenaikan Suku Bunga Meningkat Dolar Melemah karena Inflasi AS yang Dingin Memicu Harapan Penurunan Suku

Thomas Frank 10:39 2025-01-16 UTC+2

Mengapa Dow dan S&P 500 tumbuh, sementara Nasdaq terhenti: analisis mendetail

Harga produsen AS naik secara moderat pada bulan Desember Boeing turun setelah laporan pengiriman pesawat yang rendah pada tahun 2024 Eli Lilly turun setelah perkiraan penjualan obat penurun berat badan

Thomas Frank 07:45 2025-01-15 UTC+2

Mengapa Regulasi Chip AI yang Lebih Ketat Membuat Pasar Khawatir, Sementara Perusahaan Asuransi Membuat Investor Bersorak

Moderna Turun Setelah Memangkas Prediksi Penjualan 2025 Saham Chip Turun karena AS Memperketat Kontrol pada Aliran Chip AI Asuransi Kesehatan Naik saat AS Mengusulkan Tarif Pembayaran 2026 Indeks: Dow Naik

Thomas Frank 10:57 2025-01-14 UTC+2

Walgreens Meningkat: Hari Terbaik Sejak 1980 Sementara Raksasa Lainnya Merosot

Pertumbuhan Lapangan Kerja AS Melebihi Ekspektasi di Bulan Desember Futures S&P 500 Turun Menjelang CPI AS, Laporan Keuangan Walgreens Bersiap untuk Hari Terbaik Sejak 1980 Setelah Mengalahkan Laba Kuartal Pertama

Thomas Frank 06:28 2025-01-13 UTC+2

Nikkei dan Futures AS Diam-diam Turun: Di Mana Mencari Ketahanan

Futures Saham AS Turun Setelah Penutupan Nikkei Turun 0,9%, Imbal Hasil Obligasi Tiongkok Naik Data Payroll AS Penting untuk Pasar Obligasi Dolar Melonjak Mendekati Level Tertinggi 2 Tahun, Naik Selama

Thomas Frank 10:18 2025-01-10 UTC+2

Fed memberi sinyal risiko harga: Haruskah kita mengharapkan putaran baru inflasi?

Pertumbuhan pekerjaan sektor swasta AS melambat pada bulan Desember - ADP Risalah pertemuan Fed menunjukkan meningkatnya risiko tekanan harga Saham komputasi kuantum turun karena CEO Nvidia melihat jalan panjang

Thomas Frank 07:20 2025-01-09 UTC+2

Apa yang menanti JPY pada tahun 2025?

Yen sekali lagi muncul sebagai salah satu mata uang dengan kinerja terburuk di G10 pada akhir tahun ini. Sejak Januari, nilai tukarnya terhadap dolar AS telah merosot lebih dari 10%

Аlena Ivannitskaya 07:44 2024-12-30 UTC+2
Tidak bisa bicara sekarang?
Tanyakan pertanyaan anda lewat chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.