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11.12.2024 04:43 AM
2024年12月11日的歐元/美元預測

投資者逐漸遠離風險的趨勢持續。昨日,美國標普500指數下跌0.30%,歐元也隨之下跌了24個點,儘管這是在歐洲中央銀行會議臨近的背景下發生的。

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今天將發布11月份美國CPI報告。預計核心CPI將維持不變,保持在同比3.3%,而總體CPI可能從同比2.6%增至2.7%。

考慮到過去1.5個星期美聯儲官員的略微鷹派言論,在歐洲央行會議前,歐元最可能的情況是向1.0461-1.0598區間的下界回落。

此外,市場普遍討論的歐洲央行降息25個基點已經完全計入市場,這可以從11月16日以來歐元下跌4.5個百分點看出。當前市場完全聚焦於美聯儲的行動和因危機驅動的關聯性。

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在4小時圖上,昨天的下跌被MACD線和平衡線阻止。Marlin震盪指標仍然保持下行趨勢。今天,價格可能會嘗試跌破這些指標支撐並在其下方盤整。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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