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14.10.2024 07:59 AM
2024年10月14日,美元/日圓匯率預測

日圓正在149.38水平以下盤整,這表明可能會有向上的突破。然而,與Marlin振盪指標的背離仍然存在,這中和了盤整的上行潛力。

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自9月16日以來,我們將這一上漲視為日本央行干預所引發跌勢的修正。即使價格突破149.38並達到150.83,這也僅代表50%的回調。只有穩定在150.83之上,才能打開通往153.60的道路。目前,我們預期價格會在149.38的阻力位逆轉。

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在四小時圖上,價格正壓縮進入由149.38水平和Kijun-Sen線(也被稱為MACD線)形成的楔形形態。Marlin振盪器現在處於負值區域,暗示價格可能會向下突破。如果價格鞏固在MACD線之下,低於148.74水平,則會得到確認。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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