empty
 
 
15.10.2019 08:38 AM
Hot forecast for GBP / USD on 10/15/2019 and trading recommendation

The pound is tossing from side to side, like a fit, against the background of constantly changing statements regarding Brexit. From the very beginning of the week, it was under pressure after Michel Barnier, the chief negotiator for the European Union, said that London's proposals could seriously damage the single European market, as they did not contain any specifics regarding the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland. According to him, in its current form, the option proposed by Boris Johnson to resolve this issue will only lead to massive trade and financial fraud, which will cause enormous damage to the European economy. In addition, he made this statement just four days before the start of the European Union summit, during which the new version of the divorce agreement was to be considered. So no wonder that the pound began to lose ground. However, today, the pound has received unexpected support in the form of other representatives of the European Union. Thus, Finnish Prime Minister Antti Rinne, chairing the European Union, said that negotiations would need to continue after the summit. She also made it clear that even on Thursday, the heads of the countries of the European Union could not consider a new version of the agreement, then the saga would not end there, to the delight of countless speculators who are endlessly delighted by the incredible ups and downs of the pound.

This image is no longer relevant

Most likely, the impact of the negotiation process on the pound will end today. Moreover, from discussions about a bright future, which is still unclear when it will come, it is nevertheless necessary to look at what is happening right now. In here, everything is terrible. Of course, the UK unemployment rate should remain unchanged. However, here, the growth rate of the average wage is likely to slow down. In particular, the growth rate of average wages excluding premiums may slow down from 3.8% to 3.7%. If we talk about average wages taking into account premiums, then its growth rate should slow down from 4.0% to 3.9%.

Salary excluding premiums (UK):

This image is no longer relevant

The GBP / USD pair returned to the boundaries of the level of 1.2620 again, forming a stagnation near it after the local return to the market of buyers. In fact, a distinct emotional mood is felt, which pours the quote up and down, while maintaining a distinct overbought. Considering the trading chart in general terms, we see that against the background of the past surge, the quotation not only flew to the maximum of 1.2704, but it almost reached the peak of the second-order correction, which could characterize as a change in global interest. It is not worth making hasty conclusions, since, perhaps, it is most likely in the matter of the emotional behavior of market participants.

It is likely to assume that the fluctuation within the level will continue for some time, but if the price is fixed lower than 1.2600, sellers may return to the market with a movement of 1.2535-1.2500.

We concretize all of the above into trading signals:

- We consider long positions in terms of clear price fixing higher than 1.2650, with the prospect of a move of 1.2700.

- We consider short positions in terms of fixing prices lower than 1.2600 with the prospect of a move of 1.2535-1.2500.

From the point of view of a comprehensive indicator analysis, we see that indicators keep an upward interest against the background of recent leaps, and only the short-term outlook is trying to work downward.

This image is no longer relevant

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $6000 more!
    In December we raffle $6000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

推荐文章

现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback