empty
 
 
12.04.2019 12:52 PM
Gold as insurance against hyperinflation and driver of economic growth

This image is no longer relevant

According to analysts, the value of gold in relation to most world currencies has reached record levels. Experts call the yellow metal reliable protection against hyperinflation and focus on its key role in the global economy in the long term.

Analysts believe that an illustrative example of the depreciation of the national currency is the situation in Venezuela, which is dominated by record hyperinflation, as a result of which paper money lost purchasing power. Another illustration is the galloping inflation in Turkey, where prices rose by 20% in March 2019. According to forecasts, by the end of this year, the fall of the Turkish economy could reach 3%.

The current situation is favorable for the precious metal. Last week, the leading market players, market makers (literally – "market makers"), made a number of large purchases of gold. According to analysts, this fact indicates that with a price below $1300 for 1 troy ounce, precious metals will say goodbye forever. During five trading sessions, large hedgers purchased over 76 thousand contracts (1 contract = 100 ounces), or almost 295 tons of gold at a price of $1285 to $1300 for 1 troy ounce.

According to experts, this is an impressive figure for one week, indicating that the value of gold will rise steadily and is unlikely to return to previous values. Market makers, active buyers of the precious metal, form this trend themselves. They buy the yellow metal at a lower price and sell on its growth. By purchasing this metal, they hedge the purchase of "short" positions on the exchange in futures and options. Large purchases of these market players mean only one thing: a further drop in prices is either limited or unlikely.

Analyzing the situation on the market of the yellow metal, the experts come to the conclusion that the price of gold will continue to consolidate in the narrowing range of $ 1280- $ 1350 with an increase in local minima. According to forecasts of experts, in the second half of 2019, the precious metal will begin to rise in price. The peak price of gold should be expected in 2021 at about $1900-$2000 for 1 troy ounce. From this point on, a relatively deep correction will begin with a possible failure of the price in 2022, analysts summarize.

The external geopolitical background also contributes to the formation of the cost of precious metals. In the next fifteen years, experts expect the pendulum of world leadership to swing toward Asia, and the United States will not play its former significant role. In such a transitional period, one should not hope for stability in global financial markets. Analysts do not exclude the growth of trade and money conflicts, due to which the role of gold in the global financial system will be very high.

Larisa Kolesnikova,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $5000 more!
    In November we raffle $5000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

推荐文章

现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback