EUR/USD is trying to break above 1.14 so far. The chances that the break down below 1.13 was a fake break down have increased dramatically. Strong resistance lies ahead around 1.1430 so bulls need to be cautious.

Red line - major trend line resistance

Blue line - short-term resistance

Yellow rectangle - major short-term support

EUR/USD has bounced strongly towards 1.14 after revisiting the 1.13-1.1270 area. This bounce is a bullish sign. However nothing has changed yet. Bears remain under control of the medium-term trend as long as price is below 1.1430. EUR/USD has resistance at 1.14-1.1430 and next at 1.15. Support is critical at 1.1270 where we saw a double bottom being formed. Breaking and holding above 1.14 would open the way for a move towards 1.1520-1.16 and higher. Failure to hold above 1.13 will open the way for a move towards 1.11. The longer-term bullish divergence sign in the Daily chart favors the bullish scenario.